Update 27/09/17: It’s happening! We have confirmation that the LIGO team will go ahead with the rumoured announcement today at 6:30pm Italian time (that’s 12:30pm EST).
We’ll be doing a live blog when that happens so stay tuned for a link to that right here!
Time to keep a close eye on the LIGO announcement schedule, folks, because if rumours are to be believed, we might be in for a big gravitational wave announcement very soon.
At this stage, we’re in the realm of speculation – nothing has been officially confirmed or denied. But there are pretty exciting hints out there that, for the first time, astrophysicists might have detected gravitational waves from a new source: merging neutron stars.
Right now, a range of optical telescopes including the Hubble Space Telescope are said to be following up the discovery, which, if confirmed, could greatly expand our understanding of gravitational waves and the dramatic events that create them.
For those who need a refresher, gravitational waves were first discovered by scientists at LIGO back in 2015, 100 years after Einstein first predicted them.
The waves are ripples in space-time that are produced by the most explosive events in the Universe, and being able to detect them gave us an entirely new way to study the Universe. Just think of it like suddenly being given an whole new sense in addition to sight, smell, hearing, taste, and touch, with which to explore the world. Epic, right?
The first gravitational waves we picked up were produced when two black holes collided around 1.3 billion years ago.
Since then, LIGO has detected gravitational waves twice more, both times also from distant colliding black holes.
The observatory has more recently partnered with a second experiment in Europe, known as VIRGO, to cast a wider net, and these latest rumours suggest that collaboration has paid off.
So back to the latest speculation. It all started with a series of tweets from University of Texas astrophysicist J Craig Wheeler. “Rumor of exciting new LIGO source,” he wrote back on August 16.
Three days later, he followed up with this:
New LIGO. Source with optical counterpart. Blow your sox off!
— J Craig Wheeler (@ast309) August 18, 2017
That optical counterpart he mentions is what’s really exciting, because it suggests the gravitational waves were produced by merging neutron stars – stars that are created when giant supernovae collapse in on themselves.
Not only is that a new detection type for our gravitational wave observations, it’s also an event that, unlike a black hole collision, would also hurl out observable light that we could then visibly study, too. You can see an illustration of a neutron star merger below:
The tweet was picked up by Mika McKinnon over at New Scientist, who discovered that a range of optical telescopes had since turned their focus to a galaxy known as NGC 4993, which is around 130 million light-years away.
According to Ethan Siegel over at Forbes, just four days after Wheeler’s tweet, Hubble spotted a binary neutron star merger candidate in the galaxy.
To add fuel to the fire, astronomers were being pretty cagey about what they were studying.
“While astronomers are staying silent on whether they are engaged in optical follow-ups to a potential gravitational wave detection, last night the Hubble Space Telescope turned its focus to a binary neutron star merger within the galaxy. A publicly available image of this merger was later deleted.”
So why would neutron star gravitational waves be so exciting, if we have detected them?
Siegel has a brilliant breakdown of how these gravitational waves might be different to those from black hole collisions, which you should definitely check out. Aside from the fact that they’d come with accompanying optical counterparts, they should also be lower in amplitude and occur over longer periods, he explains.
Also, they would require a lot more sensitivity to pick up.
“We need to be roughly ten times closer to get the same amplitude signal that we’ve seen from black holes,” writes Siegel.
When questioned by McKinnon, LIGO spokesperson David Shoemaker didn’t confirm or deny the rumours, only saying: “A very exciting O2 Observing run is drawing to a close August 25. We look forward to posting a top-level update at that time.
Wheeler’s tweet has since drawn backlash about whether he should have spilled clues about the discovery before LIGO and VIRGO were ready to make the announcement, and he’s now apologised.
Right or wrong, I should not have sent that tweet. LIGO deserves to announce when they deem appropriate. Mea culpa.
— J Craig Wheeler (@ast309) August 23, 2017
But there’s no putting the cat back in the proverbial bag, and although we’re waiting until the find is verified before we get too ahead of ourselves, we’re definitely excited for LIGO and VIRGO’s official announcement. We’ll keep you updated as soon as we learn more.
Update (26/08/17): Just as expected, the LIGO and VIRGO teams have announced the end of the latest observing run on 25 August. Here’s the info they had to share in their preliminary statement:
“Some promising gravitational-wave candidates have been identified in data from both LIGO and Virgo during our preliminary analysis, and we have shared what we currently know with astronomical observing partners.
“We are working hard to assure that the candidates are valid gravitational-wave events, and it will require time to establish the level of confidence needed to bring any results to the scientific community and the greater public. We will let you know as soon we have information ready to share.”
So it appears that with this statement the teams have confirmed the rumour, although now we need to be patient and wait for the proper scientific process to learn the details of the new discovery. But we bet those details are going to be exciting! Stay tuned, guys.
This article was originally published on 24 August 2017, and later updated with new developments.